Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: Best Odds and Preview for October 3, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | October 2, 2021, 10:46 pm

Charlie Morton’s Atlanta Braves (87-73) are moneyline favorites (-150) against the New York Mets (77-84) (+130) on Sunday as he attempts to secure his 15th win of the season. The contest begins at 3:20 PM ET.

Atlanta has Morton set to start, while New York counters Noah Syndergaard.

Best Odds for Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets.

Braves Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Braves have been chosen as favorites in 111 games this year and have walked away with the win 64 times (57.7%) in those games.
  • Atlanta and their opponents have hit the over in 73 of their 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Braves have scored 779 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
  • Atlanta has been favored in eight of its past 10 games and won six of those matchups.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on five occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Morton makes the start for the Braves, his 33rd of the season. He is 14-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 213 strikeouts over 183 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Tuesday against the Phillies, the right-hander tossed seven scoreless innings while surrendering three hits.
  • Morton’s team is 16-16 over his 32 starts.
  • Morton’s starts went over the run total 15 times in 32 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Eddie Rosario 32 .280 .340 .591 7 16 26
Freddie Freeman 158 .300 .393 .504 31 83 179
Austin Riley 159 .302 .366 .529 33 105 177
Jorge Soler 54 .268 .356 .512 13 32 55
Adam Duvall 54 .226 .288 .518 16 44 44
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Mets Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline 68 total times this season. They’ve gone 22-46 in those games.
  • New York has played in 161 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 68 times (68-85-8).
  • The Mets are the fourth-lowest scoring team in baseball averaging 3.9 runs per game (631 total).
  • New York has a 1-5 record from the six games it was the underdog on the moneyline over its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups — all of which had a set run total — the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Mets are sending Syndergaard (0-0) to make his second start of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the right-hander tossed one scoreless inning against the Marlins without surrendering a hit.
  • His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Syndergaard’s lone start with a total this season went under.

Key Players

Javier Báez 47 .299 .371 .515 9 22 50
Pete Alonso 151 .261 .342 .519 37 94 146
Brandon Nimmo 90 .296 .405 .442 8 28 95
Javier Báez 91 .248 .292 .484 22 65 83
Francisco Lindor 124 .232 .325 .415 20 63 104

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