Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: Best Odds and Preview for October 2, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | October 1, 2021, 10:46 pm

Brandon Nimmo leads the New York Mets (77-83) into a contest against the Atlanta Braves (86-73) after his two-home run showing in a 4-3 win over the Braves. The Braves are favored on the moneyline (-130) for this game against the underdog Mets (+110), which starts at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.

Atlanta has not named a starter while New York is projected to start Carlos Carrasco.

Best Odds for Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets.

Braves Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Braves have won in 63, or 57.3%, of the 110 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of their 158 opportunities.
  • The Braves have scored 776 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
  • In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Atlanta has a record of 6-2.
  • When it comes to the total, the Braves and their foes are 5-5 in their previous 10 contests.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Eddie Rosario 31 .270 .333 .596 7 15 24
Austin Riley 158 .303 .367 .530 33 105 177
Freddie Freeman 157 .298 .391 .503 31 82 177
Jorge Soler 54 .268 .356 .512 13 32 55
Adam Duvall 54 .226 .288 .518 16 44 44
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Mets Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have put together a 22-45 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 32.8% of those games).
  • In the 160 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 67 times (67-85-8).
  • The Mets are the fourth-lowest scoring team in MLB play averaging 3.9 runs per game (627 total).
  • New York was the moneyline underdog for six of its last 10 games, and went 1-5 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Carrasco (1-4) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 12th start of the season. He has a 5.73 ERA in 48 2/3 innings pitched, with 45 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday, the right-hander threw four innings against the Brewers, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Carrasco’s team has won five of his 11 starts.
  • Carrasco has started 11 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Javier Báez 47 .299 .371 .515 9 22 50
Pete Alonso 150 .261 .340 .518 37 93 145
Brandon Nimmo 89 .297 .408 .446 8 27 94
Javier Báez 91 .248 .292 .484 22 65 83
Jonathan Villar 140 .251 .323 .421 18 42 112

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