Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: Best Odds and Preview for October 1, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 30, 2021, 10:48 pm

Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets (76-83) into a matchup against the Atlanta Braves (86-72) after he homered twice in a 12-3 win over the Marlins. The Braves are moneyline favorites (-170) against the Mets (+150) in this outing, which starts at 7:20 PM ET on Friday.

New York has Rich Hill expected to start, while Atlanta has yet to name a starting pitcher.

Best Odds for Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets.

Braves Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Braves have been victorous in 63, or 57.8%, of the 109 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Atlanta and their opponents have hit the over in 72 of their 157 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Braves have scored 776 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
  • In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Atlanta has a record of 7-1.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on five occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Riley 157 .303 .368 .532 33 105 176
Freddie Freeman 157 .298 .391 .503 31 82 177
Eddie Rosario 30 .259 .326 .553 6 14 22
Jorge Soler 54 .268 .356 .512 13 32 55
Adam Duvall 54 .226 .288 .518 16 44 44
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Mets Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have gone 21-45 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.8% of those games).
  • New York has played in 159 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 67 times (67-84-8).
  • The Mets have the No. 27 offense in MLB play scoring 3.9 runs per game (615 total runs).
  • New York was the moneyline underdog five times in the last 10 games, but lost every matchup.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Hill (1-4) takes the mound first for the Mets in his 13th start of the season. He has a 3.84 ERA in 63 1/3 innings pitched, with 59 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Thursday, the left-hander tossed five innings against the Marlins, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Hill’s team is 5-7 in his 12 starts.
  • Hill has started 12 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Javier Báez 46 .307 .379 .528 9 22 50
Pete Alonso 149 .257 .338 .514 37 92 142
Brandon Nimmo 88 .295 .407 .426 6 25 92
Javier Báez 91 .248 .292 .484 22 65 83
Jonathan Villar 139 .251 .324 .422 18 42 112

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